Market Overview
Week Ahead – Nonfarm payrolls enter the spotlight, RBA and BoC decide on policy
01.12.2023
Week Ahead – Nonfarm payrolls enter the spotlight, RBA and BoC decide on policy
Investors looking to US NFPs for confirmation of their Fed rate cut bets RBA could still signal that higher…
No-Recession Predictions Begin to Look More Plausible, but Risks Remain Too High
01.12.2023
No-Recession Predictions Begin to Look More Plausible, but Risks Remain Too High
I previously discussed a slate of recessionary indicators with high correlations to recessionary onsets. However, as we head into…
Dollar stumbles again after soft US data, eyes Powell
01.12.2023
Dollar stumbles again after soft US data, eyes Powell
US dollar softer ahead of Powell as US inflation and consumption cool Euro regains some posture, stocks look to…
After Terrific November, Is More Cheer in Store for Stocks in December?
01.12.2023
After Terrific November, Is More Cheer in Store for Stocks in December?
U.S. stocks ended November on a high note as cooling inflation boosted hopes the Fed is done hiking. December…
“LONG Santa, SHORT the Grinch” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…
30.11.2023
“LONG Santa, SHORT the Grinch” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…
On Wednesday, I joined Julie Hyman and Brian Sozzi on Yahoo! Finance to discuss an untold (under-covered) story about Charlie…
Euro slips as Eurozone inflation tumbles, aids dollar’s rebound
30.11.2023
Euro slips as Eurozone inflation tumbles, aids dollar’s rebound
· Tumbling inflation erodes euro’s gains as dollar perks up despite rate cut bets · Wall Street loses some steam…
Can Stock Markets Continue to Edge Higher After Positive US Data?
30.11.2023
Can Stock Markets Continue to Edge Higher After Positive US Data?
Today’s Trade Ideas Gold XAU/USD beat 2018 this week for our buy signal to hit the next target of…
Beware the Hook: Inflation’s Path Downward Won’t Be Smooth
29.11.2023
Beware the Hook: Inflation’s Path Downward Won’t Be Smooth
The bungee jumper doesn’t just bounce once. Stated in a more high-falutin’ way, perturbed systems normally don’t converge straight back…
Financial Wisdom Isn’t Cyclical: How to Make Better Portfolio Decisions
29.11.2023
Financial Wisdom Isn’t Cyclical: How to Make Better Portfolio Decisions
Financial “wisdom” is said to be cyclical rather than cumulative, but that’s unfair. At least in the dominion of portfolio…
Inaccurate Narratives Keep Hiding Enormous Opportunities Across the Bond Spectrum
29.11.2023
Inaccurate Narratives Keep Hiding Enormous Opportunities Across the Bond Spectrum
“” — Abstract Artist Kenneth Noland. That holds true for us as well! Proper context is required to appreciate…
Big View Slaps Stock Bulls With Warnings as Indexes Approach Resistance
29.11.2023
Big View Slaps Stock Bulls With Warnings as Indexes Approach Resistance
Monday after the close, some warning signs from our risk gauges popped up. These are especially interesting given the…
Bulls Hold Ground Amid Yield Curve’s Bear Steepening: What’s Next?
29.11.2023
Bulls Hold Ground Amid Yield Curve’s Bear Steepening: What’s Next?
It was another pretty slow day on Tuesday, with most of the action in the bond market, with the…
Is the S&P 500 Due for a Correction?
28.11.2023
Is the S&P 500 Due for a Correction?
The S&P 500 has gone up a lot and in a very short period of time. When this happens,…
US Q4 GDP Nowcast Still Points to Moderate Growth in 2023
28.11.2023
US Q4 GDP Nowcast Still Points to Moderate Growth in 2023
The recession that was widely predicted when the year began has only been postponed, some forecasters warn. The US is…
Weakness in Housing Is No Reason to Be Happy for Equity Bulls
28.11.2023
Weakness in Housing Is No Reason to Be Happy for Equity Bulls
The US new home sales report came out weak on several key aspects. Sales fell 5.6% m/m to 679K vs…
S&P 500 Uptrend Under Threat Ahead of Key Data, Powell Speech
28.11.2023
S&P 500 Uptrend Under Threat Ahead of Key Data, Powell Speech
Yesterday was a fairly uneventful day, with the S&P 500 falling roughly 20 bps. Meanwhile, the 2-year auction at…
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Shine Brightly This Holiday Season
28.11.2023
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Shine Brightly This Holiday Season
The 2023 holiday season is officially upon us, and already, records are being shattered. Black Friday deal-hunters in the…
S&P 500 E-Mini Follow-Through Bull Bar
27.11.2023
S&P 500 E-Mini Follow-Through Bull Bar
Market Overview: S&P 500 E-mini Futures The weekly chart formed an S&P 500 E-mini follow-through bull bar following the breakout above…
Dollar and oil extend slide ahead of busy week
27.11.2023
Dollar and oil extend slide ahead of busy week
Major pairs and gold climb to new highs as dollar sags Inflation data and Fed speakers awaited for direction…
S&P 500: 5 Bullish Mid-Term Signals Pointing Towards a Strong Q4 Performance
27.11.2023
S&P 500: 5 Bullish Mid-Term Signals Pointing Towards a Strong Q4 Performance
Volatility, gauged by the Vix indicator, has seen a remarkable 41% decrease in the past four weeks, marking its…