UBS bullish on Full Truck Alliance shares, starts coverage at Buy


On Tuesday, UBS initiated coverage on Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM), a leading freight matching platform in China, with a Buy rating and a price target of $9.78.

The firm is optimistic about the company’s growth prospects, citing multiple factors that could drive earnings higher in the coming years.

According to UBS, Full Truck Alliance’s revenue streams are diversified, including shippers’ membership fees, freight brokerage service fees, and commissions from truckers on fulfilled orders.

«We think investors’ concerns about FTA’s ability to raise commission appears overdone, and we foresee earnings growth upside,» said the analyst.

He highlighted several key drivers for Full Truck Alliance’s expected earnings increase. These include sustained growth in monthly active users (MAU) and higher order fulfillment rates, which should lead to an expansion in fulfilled orders. Moreover, UBS forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41% in commission revenue from 2023 to 2026.

Looking at the broader market, Full Truck Alliance’s stock currently trades at a discount compared to global logistics, mobility, and delivery service platforms based on 2024 estimated price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio (0.57x versus 0.79x). UBS suggests that the stock appears undervalued, implying a favorable outlook for investors.

InvestingPro Insights

As Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM) garners attention with UBS’s recent Buy rating and positive growth outlook, real-time data from InvestingPro underscores the company’s robust financial health and market position. With a market capitalization of $7.87 billion and an impressive gross profit margin of 92.18% for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, Full Truck Alliance showcases a strong ability to generate earnings relative to its revenues.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Full Truck Alliance not only holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating financial stability, but also has liquid assets that exceed short-term obligations, ensuring the company can meet its liabilities. These factors, coupled with the company’s status as a prominent player in the Ground Transportation industry and analysts’ predictions of profitability this year, suggest a favorable investment profile.

Investors may find additional value in the company’s recent performance, with a notable 12.9% return over the last month. With InvestingPro offering more than seven additional tips for Full Truck Alliance, investors can gain deeper insights by using the special coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, enriching their investment strategy with comprehensive data and analysis.


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